Archive for the ‘international trade’ Category

2019 Economic Review & 2020 Forecast

Canadian stocks are soaring, while the economy is expected to reach slowest pace in a decade.

The National Bank of Canada reports investor optimism for a pro-growth agenda on the horizon at the end of 2019, despite the effects of recent protectionist policies continuing to ripple across global supply chains. The fate of emerging markets, in particular, therefore continues to linger on investor sentiment for the U.S. and China trade deal.

Investor confidence in the U.S. – China trade war de-escalating sent the MSCI All-Country World index soaring to an all-time high in November amid positive negotiations. U.S. venture funding remains high, with record levels of U.S-backed unicorns (180 total with aggregate valuation of $621.2B) as Internet, Healthcare and Mobile/ Telecommunications companies continue to dominate deal activity.

However, trade tensions are slowing economic growth with global trade volumes continuing to decline on a year-over-year basis and the manufacturing sector continuing to struggle. Global trade policy uncertainty is forecasted to persist longer than expected, according to the OECD’s November 2019 Economic Outlook, with imports and exports to remain subdued. 

Rebounding from a low Q2, the Canadian economy was bolstered by increased growth in Q3 with newly revised GDP data on track to increase 1.7% in 2019 and 1.8% in 2020 according to the Bank of Canada.

Capital stock growth reached a four-year high as the net stock of capital climbed 1.2% in 2018 with gains in Ontario, Quebec, and BC offsetting declines in Alberta. Ontario saw increased capital stock across all industries including the first net capital stock increase in the manufacturing sector since 1999.

The Canadian economy is projected to reach full labour force and production capacity in 2020 after having operated below full capacity over the last several years.

NorthBridge Consultants’ Canadian Business Blog is dedicated to bringing businesses news and information to help them identify and access the most appropriate sources of financing. We offer opinions and insider information that can provide a pulse on government initiatives, the health of the Canadian economy, and firsthand thoughts from Canadian business owners.

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USMCA Trade Deal Reached After Year of Intense Negotiations

Details about the newly renegotiated United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) have been released.  This proposal, if ratified, will address disputes in the Canadian automotive and agricultural sectors, the cost of generic drugs in Canada, and online eCommerce.  It does not currently address national security tariffs, but preserves the dispute resolution process from the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

News of the USMCA deal sent the Canadian dollar soaring on Monday.  The announcement of the USMCA deal may remove the uncertainty that was  preventing the Bank of Canada from hiking interest rates.  It is anticipated that the Bank of Canada will increase interest rates during the next policy announcement on October the 24th.  Details of the USMCA proposal will be summarized below.

Automotive sector- Trump has agreed that no hard limit will be placed on Canadian automotive exports to the United States.

Agricultural sector- American farmers will gain greater access (3.6 percent) of Canada’s current dairy market, and Canada will dismantle the “Class 7” dairy ingredient (lower) pricing strategy for protein concentrates, skim milk, and whole milk powder, that  discourages foreign competition in the Canadian market.  The Americans will gain more than twice the market access to the Canadian chicken industry than what was previously negotiated in the Trans-Pacific Partnership, as well as increased access into the Canadian egg and poultry markets.  However, no major concessions will be made on the import and export of beef, pork, and grain.

eCommerce- The threshold of American goods Canadians can purchase online or via mail order without paying duties increases from $20 to $150.  American online and mail-order businesses expect to gain increased market share in Canada.

Prescription drugs- Canada has agreed to extend patent protection for biological pharmaceutical drugs from 8 to 10 years, which means that it will take longer for generic versions of new biological drugs to become available to the Canadian public.  Canada’s diminished control over the price of biologics may potentially pose a fresh challenge for the creation of a national pharmacare plan.

National security tariffs- During the summer, Trump announced that Canada would be subject to tariffs on steel and aluminum.  No agreement has been reached on the removal of these tariffs yet.

Dispute resolution- Trudeau was unequivocal about its inclusion of Chapter 19  in any new pact, which was ultimately agreed upon by the Americans despite protest from US negotiator Robert Lighthizer.  Chapter 19 from the NAFTA agreement spells out the process for companies to request arbitration if they feel that their products have been unfairly impacted by anti-dumping or countervailing duties.  

Vancouver Agri-food EUREKA! Event About International R&D Collaboration

Join Dutch EUREKA! expert Arnold Meijer and learn about how Eureka! can help you collaborate with 40 countries worldwide.

EUREKA! - International collaboration in R&D and Product Development.

EUREKA! / Eurostars is a program that supports Canadian small & medium enterprises (SMEs) wanting to collaborate with partners in around 40 other countries, in Europe and worldwide, to conduct R&D and develop technologies for new products or processes.

Arnold Meijer, coordinator Eurostars and subject-matter expert from The Netherlands Enterprise Agency, will be in Vancouver next week, and has kindly agreed to join us at The Profile to clarify how EUREKA! / Eurostars can help Canadian businesses, and to answer any questions.

Arnold will also take this opportunity to specifically discuss the recently announced call for R&D Proposals in Agri-Food. The objective of this call by Canada, The Netherlands, France, Hungary, Spain and Israel is to support the competitiveness of the agri-food sector.

Where: The Profile, 535 Thurlow Street, Vancouver (Map)

When: Tuesday, May 15, 4 – 5 PM

Get your free tickets here

Organized by:

Jaap Siekman, Regional Manager at NorthBridge Consultants.

NorthBridge is an expert consultancy firm assisting businesses throughout Canada with Government Funding that supports R&D, Innovation and Growth, such as SR&ED, IRAP, Build in Canada Innovation Program (BCIP), Innovative Solutions Canada (ISC), Canada Agricultural Partnership (CAP), SDTC/ICE Fund and CanExport.

In cooperation with the Consulate General of the Netherlands in Vancouver.

This event is sponsored by and takes place at the fabulous event space of The Profile

LoungeDowntownApples

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Ontario Budget 2018 Highlights

The Ontario 2018 Budget, tabled on March 28, 2018, projects a growing deficit over the next three years and is predicted to resume a downward trend in 2022 with accumulated deficit expected to decline from 23.2% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2017-18 to 22.1% by 2022.

The Ontario Budget proposes several measures and investments that impact businesses, including:

Innovation

  • An increase to the Ontario Research and Development Tax Credit (ORDTC) from 3.5% to 5.5% for eligible R&D expenditures over $1M (per taxation year) incurred on or after March 28, 2018.
  • Enhancements to the Ontario Innovation Tax Credit (OITC) for eligible R&D expenditures incurred on or after March 28, 2018 based on the ratio of R&D expenditures to gross revenues. Companies with a ratio of R&D expenditures to gross revenue of:
    • 10% or less will continue to claim the OITC at a rate of 8%;
    • 10-20% will be eligible for an enhanced OITC rate that will increase from 8% to 12% on a straight-line basis; and
    • 20% or more will be eligible to claim the OITC at a rate of 12%.
  • Expansions to the Ontario Interactive Digital Media Tax Credit (OIDMTC) eligibility criteria to include broadcaster purchased or licensed film/television websites that host film, television, or Internet production content not previously assessed (before Nov 1, 2017).
  • A review of various tax incentives implemented in other jurisdictions such as preferential corporate income tax rates (i.e., patent boxes), tax refunds, tax deductions, and exemptions with the intention of developing a provincial incentive to encourage Intellectual Property (IP).
  • An additional $50M over 10 years for the New Transformative Technology Partnerships Fund for businesses, SMEs, and scale‐ups as well as post-secondary and research institutions to collaborate on new dynamic products and services in artificial intelligence (AI), 5G wireless communications, autonomous vehicles, advanced computing, and quantum technologies.

Business Growth

  • In parallel with the 2018 Federal Budget proposal to phase-out or grind the $500,000 small-business limit, the Ontario Budget proposes to phase out the small-business limit on a straight-line basis for CCPCs (and associated corporations) earning between $50,000 and $150,000 of passive investment income in taxation years beginning after 2018.
  • Ending the electricity debt retirement charge (DRC) for mid-sized commercial and industrial non-ICI or non-RRP, Class B consumers as of April 1, 2018.
  • An additional $100M over 10 years for the Eastern Ontario Development Fund (EODF) and the Southwestern Ontario Development Fund (SWODF) to support regional economic development by creating jobs, attracting private sector investment and promoting innovation, and encouraging collaboration and cluster development.
  • An additional $500M over 10 years for the New Economy Fund for investing in priority sectors such as advanced manufacturing, information and communication technology (ICT), life sciences, and clean-tech.
  • An additional $85M over 3 years for the Northern Ontario Heritage Fund to stimulate economic development and diversification across the region.
  • An additional $100M over 10 years for a new Greater Toronto & Hamilton Area Fund to support SMEs in the GTA and Hamilton area.

Export Market

  • Work to implement a Global Trade Strategy to diversify and promote trade in Ontario. This will include the Accelerate to International Markets program, the Global Growth Fund, and the Magnet Export Business Portal.

Startup Support

  • An additional $85M over 10 years for a new Venture Technology Fund to support a select number of very high‐potential, fast‐growing firms in expanding to become globally competitive.
  • An additional $15M over the next 3 years to NextAI, a Toronto based accelerator for early stage startups that leverage AI technologies.

Workforce Development

  • An additional $170M over 3 years for the new Ontario Apprenticeship Strategy to support transition into apprenticeship from high school, make the system easier to navigate, and to improve access for apprentices to high‐quality jobs upon completion.
  • Transforming the Apprenticeship Training Tax Credit (ATTC) into the new Graduated Apprenticeship Grant for Employers (GAGE) to encourage employers to ensure that apprentices complete their training.

Upcoming Seminar on Cross-Border Businesses

Hodgson Ross LLP will be offering a free seminar on optimizing your cross-border business on Thursday, September the 24th at the Harbour Banquet and Conference Center in Oakville.

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2015

Time: 3:30 – 5:00 p.m; Registration at 3:00 p.m.

Location: Harbour Banquet & Conference Centre, 2340 Ontario Street, Oakville, ON

[ Register ]

This seminar will discuss the following issues:

  • Current trends in cross-border business structuring, operations, and resolution of disputes
  • U.S. federal tax update: cross-border tax structures and more IRS reporting
  •  The best defense is a good offense: how to challenge the intellectual property of your U.S. competitors
  • U.S. estate tax update: cross-border challenges for Canadians with U.S. ties
  • Getting work done in the United States: a practical guide to engaging U.S. employees and contractors

Speakers: Christine Bonaguide, Katherine Cauley, George Eydt, Jodyann Galvin, Peter Godfrey, Jeffrey StravinoMarla Waiss, and Jordan Walbesser.

Who should attend: In-house counsel and other lawyers, CEOs, CFOs, COOs, business owners, accountants, business risk managers, financial planners, investment advisors, and individuals with connections to the United States or looking to enter the U.S. market.

Seating is limited, so please RSVP by Friday, September the 18th.  Reception to immediately follow the program.

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